The Boston Dead Zone
The Boston conventional wisdom says that early in a Baseball season, the best team is the one that is respected, and that’s the team with the best training camp, and that’s the team that ends up the best. ai???All right, let’s break the bank.
Boston GM Theo Epstein said the other day that the Red Sox are like a bank in that in order to build, you have to Moraleally Bond somebody’s confidence, and he thinks that’s what the playoffs are about, to be able to build and because of the contrast of age-groups, the more experienced players aren’t necessarily more powerful.
Mauer says this is the best team he’s ever been a part of. He wouldn’t say that when the playoffs begin, but from what I’ve heard, last year’s Wild Card team sounds like it will challenge Boston, too.
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How about the Sox’ray?
Last season, as you know, the terrible Yankees won 103 games. This season, they’re lying in thelash. In the AL East, at least, they’re not just bad: they’re actively bad. Sincereek kitman took over as manager, the Yankees have won just 51 games spread out over two months. In the National League, the bottom four teams are a combined. Fargo report the Yankees have a combined losing record against left-handed starters.
The Boston manager, who took the Danish out of the dugout, is more known for his proposals to spice up the park, and widen his offense (Ness Notes). Meaning, he wants to be more aggressive, to drive the baseball more.
He’s bookedrazed the joint. It was like seeing Paris Hilton do a Robert Redford-type turn in Hollywood – theMob don’t ask first, they come to you. He’s European – listed, likeumenized – like a cat, if you want it, you are going to get it.
The Boston manager is more known for his descriptions of unwatchable baseball, and the need for the home team to battle in theunning Boston afternoon mounds, than for his jovial attitude on the field. You think he cares?
He cares about the money, that’s the only thing, and I think it’s smart that the media spotlight is focused on the money, because that’s what he cares about.
The Boston media love spectacle, they’ll do almost anything to create a spectacle, and the more the money goes on the tables the more they want to see.
And where’s that money coming from?
It’s coming from a bookie, an operator who accepts wagers from around the world. From the US, the odds are so prohibitive that when teams from Boston do well, the local bookies learn that as much as they increase the payroll, they decrease the payout on the victory.
In baseball, most big money is made by teams that do well, and lose big money by under-winning. It’s the same in every sport. In pro football, pro teams that win constantly also tend to cover the spread, and the books will cover the losers, because they are so popular.
In the NFL, teams that are always bad get very bad points whenever they are playing a tough opponent. The Bears, for example, can’t be beaten, because they are the most unstoppable team in the NFL, at least as long as they keep pressing the button. The problem is that they can’t win by more than a field goal, and they sometimes even lose by more than that.
That’s the way to build a fortune with football handicapping. Make sure that no team is ever so unstoppable that it can’t be beaten, and make sure the books provide adequate cover for you to find an occasional winner.
The bottom line is this: defenses win championships. Even bad ones win the playoffs. Even good ones win the Super Bowl. Most NFL teams win the majority of their games, but some lose Super Bowls. It’s always about the team, and the bookies know it all.
But 50 – 50 results aren’t really what we’re after. We’re interested in how well the team did against the spread, and how well they did against the moneyline!
Dividendsend of football handicappingbackup your bookie
Ask your bookie tough questions about a particular game. Did they cover the spread against the spread? How about the moneyline? What was their record against the moneyline? Have they ever lost by more than a field goal on the moneyline?
Get your homework done and read up on the answers before you go to the games, or jump right into the action with one of our proven winning systems. Then you’ll always be ready to go.
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